Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0652 UTC 10/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0600 UTC Latitude: 8.4S Longitude: 154.4E Location Accuracy: within 25nm (45 km) Movement Towards: south southwest (206 deg) Speed of Movement: 2 knots (4 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 60 knots (110 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 85 knots (155 km/h) Central Pressure: 975 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 70 nm (130 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 80 nm (220 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 120 nm (220 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 45 nm (85 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 55 nm (100 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.0/4.0/W1.0/24HRS STT:W1.0/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm (185 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 10/1200: 8.5S 154.2E: 035 (070): 060 (110): 975 +12: 10/1800: 8.7S 153.9E: 045 (085): 060 (110): 975 +18: 11/0000: 8.8S 153.5E: 055 (100): 060 (110): 975 +24: 11/0600: 9.1S 153.2E: 060 (110): 055 (100): 979 +36: 11/1800: 9.8S 152.6E: 075 (145): 050 (095): 983 +48: 12/0600: 10.4S 151.7E: 115 (210): 050 (095): 983 +60: 12/1800: 10.9S 150.4E: 130 (245): 045 (085): 987 +72: 13/0600: 11.1S 148.6E: 135 (250): 040 (075): 990 +96: 14/0600: 11.5S 145.3E: 155 (290): 040 (075): 990 +120: 15/0600: 12.1S 141.9E: 205 (385): 030 (055): 995 REMARKS: Tropical Cyclone Maila continues to show signs of weakening, with the central convection warming and becoming less defined during the past 6 hours. Position based on animated visible satellite imagery aided by recent OSCAT and ATMS polar orbiter passes. Dvorak analysis is based on a curved band pattern with a wrap of 0.6, giving DT 3.0. MET is 2.5 based on a 24 hour W+ trend, with PAT adjusted to 3.0. Final T 3.0, with CI held higher at 4.0. Recent objective aids at 0540 UTC (1 minute means) were ADT 63 kn, AiDT 48 kn, DPRINT 32 kn, and DMINT (0345 UTC) 36 kn, microwave sounders (0344 UTC) 61 kn, and SATCON 55 kn. Analysed intensity is 60 knots based on subjective Dvorak, above most objective aids to retain continuity with the 00 UTC analysis and earlier SAR intensity. The environment remains unfavourable for development, with CIMSS analysed deep layer wind shear easterly at about 20 to 25 knots. Some SST modelling suggests turbulent upwelling due to Maila's slow motion over several days has reduced local SSTs to around 24 to 26 degrees, which is also likely to be a contributing factor to weakening. All NWP guidance forecasts further weakening at varying rates as the easterly shear is generally maintained, and the system is likely to interact negatively with the Papua New Guinea land mass over the weekend. Maila has drifted very slowly SW over recent hours, with the steering pattern remaining nearly balanced. The bulk of NWP guidance suggests the western mid-level ridge will become more dominant over the next 24 hours and a WSW motion should become more firmly established. There remains some divergence in track guidance, however, with some scenarios weakening Maila in-situ over the Solomon Sea. The most likely track will take Maila southwest and close to southeastern Papua New Guinea, where a period of destructive winds is possible. After passing Papua New Guinea, Maila is expected to continue generally to the west to west-southwest towards the Cape York Peninsula. There remains considerable spread in the long term track and the forward speed of the system. Impacts to the Queensland coast are possible from as early as Monday through to mid next week, most likely about northern Cape York Peninsula. Recent guidance has backed more significant weakening as the system interacts with the land mass of Papua New Guinea, and Maila weakening below tropical cyclone intensity before reaching Cape York Peninsula is becoming an increasingly credible scenario. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 10/1330 UTC.