National

Sat 04:52 AEST

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1851 UTC 10/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 8.2S Longitude: 154.4E Location Accuracy: within 35nm (65 km) Movement Towards: north (352 deg) Speed of Movement: 1 knots (2 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 40 knots (75 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 55 knots (100 km/h) Central Pressure: 990 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 60 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W2.5/24HRS STT:S0.0/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm (185 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 11/0000: 8.1S 154.0E: 045 (085): 040 (075): 991 +12: 11/0600: 8.3S 153.8E: 055 (105): 040 (075): 991 +18: 11/1200: 8.7S 153.7E: 065 (120): 040 (075): 991 +24: 11/1800: 9.1S 153.5E: 070 (130): 040 (075): 991 +36: 12/0600: 9.9S 152.6E: 090 (165): 040 (075): 991 +48: 12/1800: 10.4S 151.7E: 120 (220): 035 (065): 994 +60: 13/0600: 10.8S 150.6E: 150 (275): 035 (065): 994 +72: 13/1800: 10.8S 149.1E: 150 (280): 035 (065): 995 +96: 14/1800: 11.4S 146.1E: 185 (340): 030 (055): 998 +120: 15/1800: 12.9S 142.1E: 230 (420): 025 (045): 1000 REMARKS: Maila continues to weaken, and is likely to weaken below tropical cyclone intensity before entering the Coral Sea. Position is based on animated EIR satellite imagery, with moderate confidence given the slow motion and recent microwave imagery. Satellite presentation has continued to degrade, with no deep convection near the system. A partial ASCAT pass at 1117 UTC sampled gales extending more than halfway around the circulation, with a maximum around 40 knots. Intensity is assessed at 40 knots. Dvorak analysis: no deep convection near the system, no DT. MET is 3.0 based on a weakening plus trend, with PAT reduced to 2.5. FT constrained to 2.0, and CI dropped to 2.5. Latest objective guidance at 1730 UTC includes ADT 41 knots, AiDT 42 knots, DPRINT 32 knots, DMINT 30 knots (1542 UTC), and SATCON 47 knots (1600UTC). The environment remains unfavourable, with around 20 knots of easterly shear continuing and local SST cooling beneath the system due to its prolonged slow motion. Interaction with southeastern Papua New Guinea over the weekend is also expected to contribute to further weakening. Maila is expected to adopt a more definite west-southwest track on Sunday as the western ridge strengthens. Guidance still shows some spread, including weaker solutions that leave the system in the Solomon Sea. The favoured track scenario takes Maila close to southeastern Papua New Guinea, then into the Coral Sea and towards Cape York Peninsula. However, guidance has continued to trend weaker, and weakening below tropical cyclone intensity before reaching the Coral Sea is becoming increasingly likely. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 11/0130 UTC.

Warnings

No active warnings found for this location.