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Sun 10:58 AEST

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0058 UTC 05/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 9.2S Longitude: 154.4E Location Accuracy: within 30nm (55 km) Movement Towards: west southwest (251 deg) Speed of Movement: 2 knots (3 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 50 knots (95 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 70 knots (130 km/h) Central Pressure: 986 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 100 nm (185 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 70 nm (130 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 90 nm (205 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 110 nm (205 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm (35 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm (280 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 05/0600: 9.3S 154.5E: 040 (075): 060 (110): 978 +12: 05/1200: 9.4S 154.6E: 050 (095): 065 (120): 974 +18: 05/1800: 9.6S 154.7E: 060 (110): 070 (130): 970 +24: 06/0000: 9.7S 155.0E: 065 (120): 075 (140): 966 +36: 06/1200: 9.9S 155.5E: 070 (130): 085 (155): 957 +48: 07/0000: 10.0S 155.9E: 070 (135): 085 (155): 956 +60: 07/1200: 10.1S 156.1E: 080 (150): 085 (155): 955 +72: 08/0000: 10.1S 156.0E: 095 (180): 080 (150): 960 +96: 09/0000: 10.6S 154.8E: 135 (250): 075 (140): 967 +120: 10/0000: 11.6S 152.3E: 155 (285): 065 (120): 976 REMARKS: Tropical Cyclone Maila intensifying in the Solomon Sea. Position is based on overnight microwave imagery and morning VIS imagery with fair confidence. The centre of Maila is now analysed within the well-developed spiral banding and imagery indicates the wind shear has eased. Intensity is assessed at 50 knots, based on subjective Dvorak and objective guidance. Dvorak analysis gives DT = 3.5 from curved band of about 1 degree of wrap. MET = 3.5 and no PT adjustment; FT/CI is set at 3.5/3.5. Available objective guidance at 2300 UTC (all 1-min mean); ADT 63 kn, AiDT 57 kn, DPRINT 59 kn, DMINT (1921 UTC) 41 kn, MW sounders (1922 UTC) 47 kn, and SATCON (2200 UTC) 53 kn. 37U has developed over the last 24 hours and is likely to continue to do so. Vertical wind shear has decreased to below 15 knots, SSTs are near 30 C, there is ample moisture and good upper outflow all supporting ongoing development. 37U is forecast to reach severe tropical cyclone intensity by 1200 UTC 5 April. Beyond that time, model guidance suggests continued intensification into the middle of next week, followed by possible weakening. The extent of any later weakening will depend partly on track and potential proximity to land. The steering pattern is currently finely balanced, with a ridge to the south and north-westerly winds to the north. This will result in slow and at times erratic movement of the system through until about Wednesday. From mid-week the steering pattern may become more complex. A mid-level ridge to the east will strengthen and will most likely take Maila towards the southwest, into the Coral Sea. However, there is considerable variation in the ensemble guidance in the later part of the week and confidence is the longer term steering is low. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 05/0730 UTC.

Warnings

No active warnings found for this location.