Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0649 UTC 05/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0600 UTC Latitude: 9.1S Longitude: 154.3E Location Accuracy: within 30nm (55 km) Movement Towards: south southwest (213 deg) Speed of Movement: 2 knots (3 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 55 knots (100 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 75 knots (140 km/h) Central Pressure: 978 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 100 nm (185 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm (220 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 120 nm (220 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 30 nm (55 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm (35 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm (220 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 05/1200: 9.4S 154.6E: 040 (075): 065 (120): 971 +12: 05/1800: 9.6S 154.7E: 050 (095): 075 (140): 962 +18: 06/0000: 9.7S 155.0E: 060 (110): 080 (150): 958 +24: 06/0600: 9.8S 155.3E: 065 (115): 085 (155): 953 +36: 06/1800: 10.0S 155.8E: 070 (130): 090 (165): 948 +48: 07/0600: 10.1S 156.0E: 075 (140): 095 (175): 942 +60: 07/1800: 10.1S 156.1E: 080 (150): 090 (165): 946 +72: 08/0600: 10.1S 155.9E: 090 (170): 080 (150): 956 +96: 09/0600: 10.9S 154.3E: 125 (230): 070 (130): 968 +120: 10/0600: 11.7S 151.6E: 150 (280): 065 (120): 972 REMARKS: Tropical Cyclone Maila continuing to intensify in the Solomon Sea. Position is based on VIS imagery with fair confidence. There have been no recent microwave passes and the morning ASCAT pass missed most of the circulation. The system had shown a spiral band wrapped at least 1 degree around the centre with a recent, large convective blow up on the eastern side. Intensity is assessed at 55 knots, based on subjective Dvorak and objective guidance. Dvorak analysis gives DT = 4.0 from curved band of about 1.2 degree of wrap. A trend of D was given, MET = 3.5 and PT adjusted to 4.0; FT/CI is set at 4.0/4.0. Available objective guidance at 0400 UTC (all 1-min mean); ADT 63 kn, AiDT 61 kn, DPRINT 62 kn, DMINT (0339 UTC) 55 kn, MW sounders (0337 UTC) 55 kn, and SATCON 57 kn. 37U has developed over the last 24 hours and is likely to continue to do so. Vertical wind shear has decreased to below 15 knots, SSTs are near 30 C, there is ample moisture and good upper outflow all supporting ongoing development. 37U is forecast to reach severe tropical cyclone intensity by 1200 UTC 5 April. Beyond that time, model guidance suggests continued intensification into the middle of the week, followed by possible weakening. The extent of any later weakening will depend on the motion of the system and whether it is steered closer to land. The steering pattern is currently finely balanced, with a ridge to the south and north-westerly winds to the north. This will result in slow and at times erratic movement of the system through until about Wednesday. From mid-week the steering pattern may become more complex. A mid-level ridge to the east will strengthen and will most likely take Maila towards the southwest, into the Coral Sea. However, there is considerable variation in the ensemble guidance in the later part of the week with a large spread in outcomes, some systems being taken south into the Coral Sea and others westwards and impacting the far north Queensland coast. Confidence in the longer term movement is low. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 05/1330 UTC.