Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1323 UTC 10/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 1200 UTC Latitude: 8.1S Longitude: 154.2E Location Accuracy: within 35nm (65 km) Movement Towards: northwest (326 deg) Speed of Movement: 4 knots (7 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 45 knots (85 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 65 knots (120 km/h) Central Pressure: 991 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 70 nm (130 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 60 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/3.0/W2.5/24HRS STT:W1.0/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1005 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm (220 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 10/1800: 8.0S 153.9E: 045 (085): 045 (085): 990 +12: 11/0000: 8.3S 153.8E: 055 (105): 045 (085): 990 +18: 11/0600: 8.6S 153.8E: 065 (120): 045 (085): 990 +24: 11/1200: 9.0S 153.7E: 070 (130): 045 (085): 991 +36: 12/0000: 10.0S 152.7E: 085 (160): 045 (085): 992 +48: 12/1200: 10.5S 151.2E: 110 (200): 040 (075): 995 +60: 13/0000: 10.7S 150.0E: 135 (255): 035 (065): 997 +72: 13/1200: 10.9S 148.6E: 145 (270): 035 (065): 998 +96: 14/1200: 11.3S 145.4E: 150 (275): 035 (065): 998 +120: 15/1200: 12.2S 142.0E: 200 (370): 030 (055): 1000 REMARKS: Maila has weakened further, and the risk of weakening below tropical cyclone intensity before reaching the Coral Sea has increased. Position is based on animated EIR satellite imagery, with moderate to low confidence given the weak and poorly defined centre. Motion remains very slow. Satellite presentation has continued to degrade during the past 6 hours, with central convection warming and becoming less defined. Recent imagery suggests convection is continuing to erode around the system. Intensity is assessed at 45 knots. Dvorak analysis remains based on a curved band pattern, with a generous wrap of 0.2 supporting DT 2.0. MET is around 3.0 based on the recent weakening trend, with PAT reduced to 2.5. Latest objective guidance at 1130 UTC includes ADT 49 knots, AiDT 44 knots, and DPRINT 36 knots. These values, together with the degraded satellite structure, support a reduction in analysed intensity from the previous bulletin. The environment remains unfavourable, with around 20 knots of easterly shear continuing and possible local SST cooling beneath the system due to its prolonged slow motion. Interaction with southeastern Papua New Guinea over the weekend is also expected to contribute to further weakening. Maila is expected to adopt a more definite west-southwest track over the next 24 hours as the western ridge strengthens. Guidance still shows some spread, including weaker solutions that leave the system in the Solomon Sea. The favoured track scenario takes Maila close to southeastern Papua New Guinea, then into the Coral Sea and towards Cape York Peninsula. However, guidance has continued to trend weaker, and weakening below tropical cyclone intensity before reaching Queensland is becoming increasingly likely. Another plausible scenario is that Maila weakens in the Solomon Sea or over southeastern Papua New Guinea during the weekend and does not emerge into the Coral Sea as a tropical cyclone. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 10/1930 UTC.