Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0710 UTC 07/04/2026 Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0600 UTC Latitude: 9.9S Longitude: 156.4E Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km) Movement Towards: northeast (045 deg) Speed of Movement: 1 knots (3 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 90 knots (165 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 125 knots (230 km/h) Central Pressure: 951 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 100 nm (185 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 80 nm (150 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm (205 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 110 nm (205 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 35 nm (65 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 35 nm (65 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 35 nm (65 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: 30 nm (30 km) Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm (35 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T5.5/5.5/D1.5/24HRS STT:D0.5/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 190 nm (350 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 07/1200: 9.8S 156.3E: 030 (060): 090 (165): 950 +12: 07/1800: 9.8S 156.1E: 040 (075): 095 (175): 945 +18: 08/0000: 9.6S 155.9E: 050 (095): 095 (175): 945 +24: 08/0600: 9.5S 155.7E: 055 (095): 095 (175): 944 +36: 08/1800: 9.5S 154.9E: 065 (120): 095 (175): 946 +48: 09/0600: 9.9S 153.8E: 075 (140): 100 (185): 941 +60: 09/1800: 10.5S 152.4E: 080 (150): 075 (140): 967 +72: 10/0600: 11.2S 150.8E: 095 (175): 070 (130): 971 +96: 11/0600: 12.1S 147.5E: 135 (250): 070 (130): 971 +120: 12/0600: 12.3S 145.0E: 180 (330): 065 (120): 974 REMARKS: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila has intensified to category 4 while over the Solomon Sea. Position is based on animated visible imagery with good confidence. An eye remains evident on satellite imagery and also in AMSR2 microwave imagery at 0335 UTC. Minimal change to structure since this morning is analysed, (for gales and storm force winds this is based largely on ASCAT at 2237 UTC). Intensity is assessed at 90 kn, and is in line with Dvorak and the consensus of objective aids. Some aids are higher and current intensity may be 90 to 95 knots. Dvorak analysis, a WMG eye with LG surrounds and eye adjustment of 1.0 due to W surrounding ring, yields a 3 hour average DT of 5.5. MET=5.5 based on a D+ 24h trend with no adjustment to PT. FT/CI=5.5/5.5. Available objective guidance at 0520 UTC (all 1-minute mean) includes ADT 99 kn, AiDT 95 kn, DPRINT 100 kn, DMINT 93kn (0301 UTC), MW Sounders 107 kn (0259 UTC) and SATCON 104 kn (0410 UTC). Maila lies in a generally favourable environment with moderate vertical wind shear (CIMSS analysis at 0000 UTC 20 knots ENE), a moist environment and good upper-level divergence. However the intensity forecast for Maila is difficult with some guidance indicating an intense system persisting until land interactions, and other guidance suggesting weakening before this. The slow motion may cause upwelling of cooler waters and the system remaining over these cooler waters may induce some weakening. The short term forecast is for a small amount of intensification, before interaction with PNG causes weakening, however, some fluctuations are anticipated. The longer term intensity as it approaches the Queensland coast may depend on the systems interaction with PNG, as well as how quickly Maila moves west which leads to some variations in guidance and there is potential for Maila to be influenced by some vertical wind shear before reaching Queensland. The steering pattern is changing and Maila is only moving slowly while this occurs. A new mid-level ridge is building to the southwest and this is expected to become the dominant steering influence moving Maila to the northwest this evening. In the coming days the mid-level ridge is forecast to extend eastwards, to the south and southeast of Maila, and by Thursday is expected to steer Maila west southwest. This takes Maila past southeastern PNG, and they could face a prolonged period of very hazardous winds. After passing PNG, Maila is expected to continue moving generally west, towards the Cape York Peninsula. However, there is considerable spread in the speed of motion and impacts could occur as early as Friday night or be delayed until early next week. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 07/1330 UTC.