Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1253 UTC 06/04/2026 Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 1200 UTC Latitude: 9.9S Longitude: 155.4E Location Accuracy: within 15nm (30 km) Movement Towards: east southeast (111 deg) Speed of Movement: 4 knots (8 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 80 knots (150 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 110 knots (205 km/h) Central Pressure: 962 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 120 nm (220 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 80 nm (150 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 100 nm (240 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 130 nm (240 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 60 nm (110 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: 30 nm (30 km) Radius of Maximum Winds: 15 nm (30 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T5.5/5.5/D1.5/24HRS STT: D1.5/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm (280 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 06/1800: 9.9S 155.7E: 025 (050): 085 (155): 957 +12: 07/0000: 9.9S 155.9E: 040 (070): 090 (165): 952 +18: 07/0600: 9.9S 156.1E: 045 (085): 085 (155): 956 +24: 07/1200: 9.8S 156.0E: 050 (090): 080 (150): 961 +36: 08/0000: 9.6S 155.7E: 055 (100): 080 (150): 961 +48: 08/1200: 9.5S 155.0E: 065 (125): 080 (150): 962 +60: 09/0000: 9.7S 154.1E: 085 (155): 075 (140): 967 +72: 09/1200: 10.1S 152.8E: 105 (195): 065 (120): 976 +96: 10/1200: 11.3S 149.6E: 135 (250): 070 (130): 973 +120: 11/1200: 11.6S 147.0E: 160 (295): 070 (130): 972 REMARKS: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila slow moving in the Solomon Sea. Position is based on animated EIR imagery with an intermittent eye and an 1100UTC ASCAT pass with good confidence. Intensity is assessed at 80 kn, based on subjective Dvorak and objective guidance. Dvorak analysis DT has climbed to 5.5 using an eye pattern with a B surround, eye is LG in W surround (no adjustment). MET=5.0 based on a D 24h trend with no adjustment. FT/CI=5.5/5.5. Available objective guidance at 1120 UTC (all 1-minute mean) includes ADT 65 kn, AiDT 74 kn, DPRINT 90 kn, DMINT 90kn (0734 UTC), MW sounders 92 kn (0319 UTC), and SATCON (0600UTC) 83 kn. Maila remains in an environment generally favourable for further intensification, with vertical wind shear 16 kn easterly, SSTs near 30C, and good upper-level outflow, especially equatorward. The intensity forecast for Maila is difficult with some guidance indicating an intense system persisting for some days and other guidance suggesting weakening. The slow motion will likely cause upwelling of cooler water aiding to weaken the system. The extent of any weakening on Thursday will also depend on whether it tracks over eastern PNG as suggested by some guidance. Current forecast is for some further intensification in the next 12 hours and then slow weakening. The steering pattern remains finely balanced, with a ridge to the south and northwesterly flow to the north. The current short term motion to the east southeast is forecast to turn to the northwest later Tuesday. By Thursday, a strengthening mid-level ridge to the east is expected to steer Maila west southwest. This takes it past the PNG southeastern islands that could face a prolonged period of very hazardous winds. There is increasing confidence in a track towards the Cape York Peninsula later in the week. Confidence in this steering direction has increased however there still remains considerable spread in the speed of motion with recent guidance slowing the system down as it approaches the north Queensland coast. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 06/1930 UTC.