National

Sat 11:06 AEST

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin

Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0106 UTC 11/04/2026 Name: Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 8.0S Longitude: 154.5E Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km) Movement Towards: east northeast (070 deg) Speed of Movement: 2 knots (3 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots (65 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots (95 km/h) Central Pressure: 995 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 70 nm (130 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: None nm (150 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 80 nm (150 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: 25 nm (45 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T.2.0/2.5/W2.0/24HRS STT:WS0.0/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm (185 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 11/0600: 8.4S 154.1E: 030 (060): 035 (065): 997 +12: 11/1200: 8.9S 153.8E: 040 (080): 035 (065): 995 +18: 11/1800: 9.4S 153.6E: 050 (095): 035 (065): 996 +24: 12/0000: 9.9S 153.3E: 060 (110): 035 (065): 996 +36: 12/1200: 10.4S 152.6E: 085 (160): 035 (065): 996 +48: 13/0000: 11.1S 151.5E: 110 (205): 035 (065): 996 +60: 13/1200: 11.8S 150.0E: 130 (240): 030 (055): 999 +72: 14/0000: 12.2S 148.3E: 120 (225): 030 (055): 999 +96: 15/0000: 12.5S 144.4E: 170 (315): 030 (055): 1000 +120: 16/0000: 12.9S 139.9E: 120 (220): 025 (045): 1002 REMARKS: Maila continues to weaken, and is likely to weaken below tropical cyclone intensity before entering the Coral Sea. Position is based on animated Vis satellite imagery, with high confidence. Satellite presentation has continued to degrade, with little deep convection near the system. A partial ASCAT pass at 2222 UTC sampled gales in the northwestern quadrants, with a maximum around 36 knots. Intensity is assessed at 35 knots. Dvorak analysis: little deep convection near the system, DT of 1.0 based on a curved band pattern with a 0.1 wrap to the northeast, this is generous. MET is 2.5 based on a weakening plus trend, with PAT reduced to 2.0. FT of 2.0 based on MET, and CI held above at 2.5. Latest objective guidance at 2300 UTC includes ADT 29 knots, AiDT 33 knots, DPRINT 29 knots, DMINT 31 knots (1936 UTC), and SATCON 46 knots (2200UTC). The environment is unfavourable for any renewed development, with low to moderate easterly shear continuing and local SST cooling beneath the system due to its prolonged slow motion. Interaction with southeastern Papua New Guinea this weekend is also expected to contribute to further weakening. Maila is expected to adopt a more definite west-southwest track later today as the western ridge strengthens. Guidance still shows some spread, including weaker solutions that leave the system in the Solomon Sea. The favoured track scenario takes Maila close to southeastern Papua New Guinea, then into the Coral Sea and towards Cape York Peninsula. However, it is likely Maila will weaken below tropical cyclone intensity before reaching the Coral Sea. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 11/0730 UTC.

Warnings

No active warnings found for this location.