Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Queensland Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0137 UTC 06/04/2026 Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila Identifier: 37U Data At: 0000 UTC Latitude: 9.6S Longitude: 154.6E Location Accuracy: within 20nm (35 km) Movement Towards: south (174 deg) Speed of Movement: 2 knots (3 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 70 knots (130 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 100 knots (185 km/h) Central Pressure: 974 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 120 nm (220 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 90 nm (165 km) Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 90 nm (240 km) Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 130 nm (240 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm (75 km) Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: 50 nm (95 km) Radius of 64-knot winds: 30 nm (30 km) Radius of Maximum Winds: 15 nm (30 km) Dvorak Intensity Code: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/6HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 150 nm (280 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 06/0600: 9.8S 154.8E: 030 (060): 075 (140): 967 +12: 06/1200: 10.0S 155.2E: 040 (075): 080 (150): 962 +18: 06/1800: 10.1S 155.4E: 045 (085): 085 (155): 957 +24: 07/0000: 10.2S 155.7E: 050 (095): 090 (165): 952 +36: 07/1200: 10.1S 155.7E: 055 (105): 090 (165): 951 +48: 08/0000: 10.1S 155.3E: 065 (120): 085 (155): 956 +60: 08/1200: 10.1S 154.6E: 080 (145): 075 (140): 966 +72: 09/0000: 10.5S 153.5E: 090 (165): 075 (140): 968 +96: 10/0000: 12.2S 149.9E: 120 (225): 065 (120): 978 +120: 11/0000: 13.1S 146.4E: 155 (290): 065 (120): 977 REMARKS: Severe Tropical Cyclone Maila is slowly intensifying in the Solomon Sea. Position is based on animated Vis imagery, and was assisted by an earlier SAR pass at 1929 UTC with good confidence. There have been no recent microwave passes available. An ASCAT pass at 2226 UTC sampled part of the western side of the circulation and showed gales extending to 130 nm in the northwest quadrant under the convective band. Intensity is assessed at 70 kn, influenced by SAR and subjective Dvorak slightly higher than most objective guidance. Dvorak analysis DT=4.5 applying embedded centre pattern MET=4.0 although 24h trend is unclear. FT/CI=4.5. Available objective guidance at 0000 UTC (all 1-minute mean) includes ADT 61 kn, AiDT 51 kn, DPRINT 79 kn, DMINT 76 kn (1907 UTC), MW sounders 69 kn (1807 UTC), and SATCON 69 kn (2130 UTC). Maila remains in an environment generally favourable for further intensification, with vertical wind shear near 15 kn, SSTs near 30C, and good upper-level outflow. However, the dry air most evident to the south may be having a negating influence. Guidance suggests some further intensification to Tuesday then followed by some possible weakening. Upwelling of cooler water may also be a weakening mechanism. The extent of any weakening on Wednesday and Thursday will also depend on whether it tracks over eastern PNG as suggested by GFS model. The steering pattern remains finely balanced, with a ridge to the south and northwesterly flow to the north, resulting in slow and at times erratic motion through about Wednesday. From mid-week, a strengthening mid-level ridge to the east is expected to steer Maila west to southwest into the Coral Sea, with increasing confidence in a track towards the Cape York Peninsula later in the week. Although some spread remains in the longer-term guidance, forecast confidence has improved. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 06/0730 UTC.